[해외뉴스] 4월 13일 월요일 브리핑
1) 지수요약
S&P500 6886.24 (▲1.02%)
나스닥 23183.74 (▲1.23%)
다우존스 48218.25 (▲0.63%)
미국 10년물 국채 4.36% (▲0.97%)
달러인덱스 1479.50 (▲1.00)
WTI 99.08달러 (▲2.59%)
금 4767.40 (▼0.41%)
원유/금: 전일 종가 기준
2) 해외증시
① 미국 국채금리 상승과 인플레이션 경계 재부각
# Treasury yields rise as collapse of Iran talks clouds inflation outlook. Treasury yields edged higher on Monday as the breakdown of negotiations between Iran and the U.S. clouded the inflation outlook once again. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the benchmark for government borrowing — was up more than 1 basis point at 4.333%. The 2-year Treasury note yield, which is more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, rose more than 2 basis points to 3.8242%. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury note yield also advanced less than 1 basis point to 4.923%. One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions. Investors are reacting to U.S. plans to blockade the Strait of Hormuz after talks between Washington and Tehran at the weekend failed to produce an agreement to end the Middle East conflict. Yields are also digesting Friday's inflation print, which showed core prices rising less than feared, despite the surge in energy prices since the start of the Iran war.
② 금 가격 약세와 달러 강세 압력 확대
# Gold falls on stronger dollar, fading Fed rate-cut hopes | Reuters. REUTERS/Sahiba Chawdhary Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab. April 13 (Reuters) – Gold prices fell to a near one-week low on Monday, pressured by a stronger dollar, while a surge in oil prices following failed U.S.-Iran peace talks fuelled inflation worries and dampened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab. * #### World-Check, opens new tab. * About Reuters, opens new tab. * Media Center, opens new tab. * Advertise with Us, opens new tab. * Reuters News Agency, opens new tab. * Reuters and AI, opens new tab. * Reuters Leadership, opens new tab. * Reuters Diversity Report, opens new tab. * #### Data Catalogue, opens new tab. * Data Disclosure and Sources, opens new tab. * Site Feedback, opens new tab. * Data Disclosure and Sources, opens new tab. * Site Feedback, opens new tab.
– 참고: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-falls-stronger-dollar-fading-fed-rate-cut-hopes-2026-04-13/
③ 유가 반등과 금리 인하 기대 후퇴
# Gold falls on stronger dollar, fading Fed rate-cut hopes. Gold prices fell on Monday, while a rise in oil prices fueled inflation worries and dampened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Gold prices fell to a near one-week low on Monday, pressured by a stronger dollar, while a surge in oil prices following failed U.S.-Iran peace talks fueled inflation worries and dampened expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "Ceasefire optimism has unwound following the failure of the peace talks, and the resulting push higher by the dollar and oil prices has put gold on the back foot again," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst, KCM Trade. "As soon as oil prices push back above $100, attention quickly turns to potential central bank rate hikes to curb inflation, and it is this interest rate outlook which is undermining gold's performance," Waterer said.
– 참고: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/13/gold-falls-on-stronger-dollar-fading-fed-rate-cut-hopes.html
④ 테슬라 재고 우려 완화와 실적 기대 재점검
Tesla, Inc. Q1 ’26 outlook: inventory, deliveries, valuation reset—why a Buy now. Click for this updated look at TSLA stock ahead of its upcoming earnings.
– 참고: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4890300-tesla-dont-worry-about-inventory-rating-upgrade
⑤ 월가 인플레이션 우려 재평가와 유가 상단 인식
Image 1: Market Talk: Inflation worries are ‘too conservative’. * ### Image 4: Wall St ends mixed as investors parse Middle East negotiations 07:05 Market Talk: Multiple 'attacks to the wallet’ erode consumer sentiment. * ### Image 7: Record surge in gas prices fuels US consumer inflation in March 02:09 Wall Street ends higher as Middle East peace talks lift sentiment. * ### Image 10: The Week in Numbers: oil prices swing wildly, AI boom motors on 05:34 Market Talk: ‘Structurally higher oil prices’ to last. * ### Image 14: Wall Street ends higher as Middle East peace talks lift sentiment 04:43 Market Talk: 'Investors are willing to go all in' on ceasefire hopes. * Iran cannot participate in World Cup, its sports minister says March 11, 2026. * Iran's World Cup uncertainty leaves Tucson sports complex in limbo March 6, 2026. * Trump to visit China in May for talks with Xi after Iran war delay March 26, 2026.
– 참고: https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/idRW205313042026RP1/?chan=markets-now
⑥ 텍사스인스트루먼트 장기 수요 기대와 현금흐름 부각
Texas Instruments (TXN) outlook: margin expansion, rising free cash flow, and AI-driven demand.
⑦ 뉴욕증시 반등과 기술주 매수세 유입
US stocks rose as investors weighed Middle East tensions and hopes of a potential resolution in the Iran conflict. Gains in tech stocks lifted the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, while easing oil prices below $100 supported sentiment. However, cautious trading persisted amid geopolitical uncertainty and mixed corporate earnings reactions.
3) 해외뉴스
① 미국 항만 봉쇄 카드와 헝가리 정권교체 동시 부상
🎧 Iran is using the Strait of Hormuz's closure to its advantage, frustrating Trump and pushing global oil prices higher, NPR's Greg Myre tells Up First. While some oil still flows from Iran, the country charges foreign ships up to $2 million …
② 머저르 집권 부상과 헝가리 권력지형 전환
Magyar ended Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's 16-year grip on power in a landslide victory on Sunday. The former Orbán loyalist burst onto the scene as an opposition leader in 2024.
– 참고: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/13/nx-s1-5783657/peter-magyar-hungary-prime-minister-orban-election